In Focus

In Focus: markets as we see them


Last updated: 17 February 2017

Inside this week:

  • Recurring outflows: This year marks the 20th anniversary of the Asian Financial Crisis, when the capitulation of the Thai central bank on the baht triggered a financial and economic collapse in the region
  • Back to 2015? We’ve been here before of course. Last year’s market panic was partly sparked by worries of a massive yuan devaluation, as investors feared the PBoC would eventually buckle under the weight of capital fleeing a slowing economy
  • Structural outflows: As capital account liberalisation advances in the long term, we can expect more of China’s domestic wealth to find its way to the rest of the world
  • Risks: While excessive capital outflows were especially damaging for the over-leveraged Asian economies of 1997, this scenario may not quite fit the China of today
  • Investment conclusions: Overall, the risks to the Chinese economy from capital flight are still relatively contained

Read the full In Focus [PDF, 725KB]

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This document has been prepared by the wealth and investment management division of Barclays Bank Plc ("Barclays"), for information purposes only. Barclays does not guarantee the accuracy or completeness of information which is contained in this document and which is stated to have been obtained from or is based upon trade and statistical services or other third party sources. Any data on past performance, modelling or back-testing contained herein is no indication as to future performance.

No representation is made as to the reasonableness of the assumptions made within or the accuracy or completeness of any modelling or back-testing. All opinions and estimates are given as of the date hereof and are subject to change. The value of any investment may fluctuate as a result of market changes. The information in this document is not intended to predict actual results and no assurances are given with respect thereto.


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